California

California Recall Prediction Contest

The winner of the prediction contest on MetaFilter for the California recall election is Escher:  PredictionActualDifference Yes56%55.2%0.8% No44%44.8%0.8% Average Difference0.8%   Bustamante32%31.9%0.1% McClintock15%13.4%1.6% Schwarzenegger43%48.5%5.5% Camejo/Others9%6.2%2.8% Average Difference2.5% Escher not only won the contest -- he helped make it happen: "I'm voting for Arnold myself. Registered democrat, but i think Davis has done a horrible job and i think Bustamonte would do ... (read more)

2003/10/08

California Recall Prediction Contest: Final Results

Final results: username Total Total Combined escher 0.8 2.5 3.3 qDot 0.8 2.95 3.75 yhbc 3.2 0.8 4 elpapacito 1.2 2.9 4.1 ericdano 1.2 3 4.2 carter 1.3 3.65 4.95 Ptrin 2.2 3.45 5.65 gyc 2.7 3.35 6.05 sp_dinsmoor 1.2 5.05 6.25 nath 0.2 ... (read more)

2003/10/08

California Recall Prediction Contest: Governor

99.6 % ( 15180 of 15235 ) precincts reporting as of Oct 8, 2003 at 12:19 pm  Candidate Votes Pct. Arnold Schwarzenegger 3,677,005 48.5 Cruz Bustamente 2,415,693 31.9 Tom McClintock 1,010,469 13.4 Peter Camejo and Others ~470,050 6.2 username Bust. Diff. McCl. Diff. Schw. Diff. Others Diff. Total yhbc 32 0.1 13 0.4 50 1.5 5 1.2 0.8 ... (read more)

2003/10/08

California Recall Prediction Contest: Yes/No

Shall GRAY DAVIS be recalled (removed) from the office of Governor? 99.6 % ( 15180 of 15235 ) precincts reporting as of Oct 8, 2003 at 12:06 pm   Votes Percent Yes 4,337,066 55.2 No 3,531,967 44.8 username Yes Diff. No Diff. Total nath 55 0.2 45 0.2 0.2 escher 56 0.8 44 0.8 0.8 qDot 56 0.8 44 0.8 0.8 elpapacito 54 1.2 46 1.2 1.2 ericdano 54 1.2 46 1.2 1.2 justgary 54 1.2 46 1.2 1.2 sp_dinsmoor 54 1.2 46 1.2 1.2 themadjuggler 54 1.2 46 1.2 1.2 carter 53.3 1.9 ... (read more)

2003/10/08