prediction contest on MetaFilter for the California recall election is Escher:
Escher not only won the contest -- he helped make it happen: "I'm voting for Arnold myself. Registered democrat, but i think Davis has done a horrible job and i think Bustamonte would do worse."
A combined 3.3% off from the two votes, Escher edged second-place finisher qDot at 3.75%. There's no contact information in his profile, so if he wants the Perfect Pancake and the Domu-Kun, he needs to send me e-mail.
The average MetaFilter prediction was a combined 2.84% off and would have won the contest:
The worst prediction was made by ook: