Ernesto, the hurricane that weakened to a tropical depression and will hit the Florida Keys later today.
Jeff Masters' prediction:
The latest forecast models are all in excellent agreement, calling for a landfall in the Everglades tonight, a long passage up the spine of Florida, followed by a re-emergence into the Atlantic and possible re-intensification to a Category 1 hurricane before a second landfall in the Carolinas.
Riding out a tropical storm is better than riding out a hurricane, of course, but they spawn tornadoes at an alarming rate. My urge to be the first Floridian to evacuate the state grows strong.