MetaFilter users have crystal balls

I organized a prediction contest on MetaFilter this week for the California recall election.

Score one for the precognitive abilities of the MetaFilter collective: The average prediction of the 52 participants would have won the contest:

	Average	Actual
Yes	54.18696%	55.2%
No	45.71739%	44.8%

	Average	Actual
Schwarzenegger	45.57%	48.5
Bustamante	32.64%	31.9%
McClintock	12.04%	13.4%
Camejo/Others	8.88%	6.2%

2003/10/08 · 1 COMMENT · Link

Comments

Kind of goes to the Iowa Political market type of thinking, eh?

#1 · BillSaysThis · 2003/10/08