MetaFilter users have crystal balls

I organized a prediction contest on MetaFilter this week for the California recall election.

Score one for the precognitive abilities of the MetaFilter collective: The average prediction of the 52 participants would have won the contest:

AverageActual
Yes54.18696%55.2%
No45.71739%44.8%

AverageActual
Schwarzenegger45.57%48.5
Bustamante32.64%31.9%
McClintock12.04%13.4%
Camejo/Others8.88%6.2%

Comments

Kind of goes to the Iowa Political market type of thinking, eh?

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